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Category Archives: Football

How Vegas High-Rollers Are Rating the Power-5 Conferences in 2019-20

My overall angle on college football for the past 2-3 years has been simple – conferences are overrated. There’s an “elite” class of NCAA pigskin that transcends the leagues contenders play in. If you put Clemson, Alabama, Georgia, Notre Dame, UCF, Boise State, and Oklahoma in a division by themselves, they’d battle it out to […]

Big 12 Betting Preview: Vegas Futures Lines on Contenders of the Midwest

Terry O’ Neill, who helped turn John Madden into a worldwide superstar with CBS Sports in the 1980s, once directed a distributor to always put the Green Bay Packers on Chicago stations whenever the Bears weren’t playing simultaneously. The idea was that if Windy City fans didn’t have the Monsters of the Midway to cheer […]

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Ranking College Football’s Group-of-Five Conferences

Did anyone else catch those weird off-season headlines that seemed to imply Connecticut was “moving to the Big East” in 2020? Some automated college-stats sites have found themselves listing future games in “Big East Football” like UConn vs…vs…Georgetown? Hope those Hoyas get that power-running game cranked up again this season. There used to be a […]

AAC Football 2019-20: Milton Injury Brings Long-Shot Vegas Lines Into Consideration

Brandon Wimbush is the perfect example of a college QB who is acknowledged to be successful on the NCAA level but cannot, and will not, succeed in the NFL as a signal-caller. The NFL’s myth is that at its highest level of excellence, the game is only suited to drop-back passing teams and not dual-threat […]

6 Must-Bet NFL Win Totals for 2019-2020

This is the toughest time of the year, by far. The NBA and NHL seasons are done, baseball is still a couple of months away from being exciting, and football is so close I can taste it – yet, there’s still so long to wait. From the draft to mini-camps and finally preseason training, the […]

Choosing From Bovada Sportsbook’s 42 NFL Season-Prop Markets

I am a fan of game-by-game prop betting. The gigantic numbers of prop bets available for the NFC Championship Game or the Super Bowl always include some funny and entertaining markets, and there is nothing like taking a tailback to gain 100+ yards and then watching him sprint down the sideline (hopefully not while pulling […]

Pac-12 Futures Markets: Is Oregon the Preseason Pick in 2019?

Speculators get into big-time trouble when they start ranking leagues as if each is on a separate level from the other. “I don’t like Asian Team XYZ in the World Baseball Classic,” a pundit might say. “They’ve only got 5 MLB guys, 4 Nippon Professional Baseball guys, and 9 from an even lower level.” Except […]

2019-20 ACC Betting Preview: Does Clemson Deserve its Short Vegas Line to Repeat?

What exactly makes an NCAA football team “upset-proof?” Ask Dabo Swinney, the mastermind of the defending FBS champion Clemson Tigers. His squad’s run for the grail was almost derailed early in 2018-19 as Texas A&M threatened in the 4th quarter at College Station. Tense 4th quarters against the mid-card of the Power-5 just won’t do […]

SEC Football 2019-20: Win Total Betting Lines and Predictions

I’ve bragged on college gridiron coaches when they refuse to bow to the media. For instance, I didn’t mind former Georgia Tech skipper Paul Johnson’s devilish sideline remarks after helping his Yellow Jackets whip Mississippi State in the Orange Bowl a few years back. “For once,” he chuckled, “we don’t have to hear about the […]

How Betting on Super Bowl Props Became So Popular

Less than two weeks have passed since the New England Patriots outlasted the Los Angeles Rams in a 13-3 snoozer to win Super Bowl 53. But where the big game lacked in offensive fireworks and compelling drama, it more than made up for it with a record-setting abundance of prop bets on the board. Short […]

5 FBS Coaches Whose Teams are Excellent Against the Spread

The biggest problem college football underdogs have in trying to get the attention of bookmakers and gamblers is that every week, every FBS game, everybody has to favor somebody. It’s like Michael Wilbon says about head coaches who aren’t always effective (or unbeaten) but get promoted to jobs in the Power-5 anyway. “Everybody has to […]

NFL Preseason Odds: 6 Sleepers Who Could Win Super Bowl 54

All sports gamblers who actually like sports (i.e. the non-miserable people of the world) are guilty of fan bias – among other forms of bias – whenever they handicap the odds. You can’t get away from it. For instance, I personally try to take an “ambivalent” view of professional sports, not that I don’t care […]