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Category Archives: Basketball

NBA Point-Scoring Trends: Which Side of the O/U Pays Off More Often?

The 2019 NBA All-Star Game was a marvelous celebration of basketball skills and marksmanship. The teams even appeared to try hard – but only on offense, of course. Moneyline bettors bit up and down their fingernails as various superstars entered and left the contest. With defenders ducking-out of all contact, the only hope for your […]

Cinderella at the Big Dance: Top 5 Futures Bets on Sleepers to Reach the Final Four

I talk to a lot of sports media members on a weekly basis (imagine that) and I find it amusing that the circus of March Madness prediction-ology is threatening to replace the thrill of the actual games. “This is the best day of the year,” I heard one say as Selection Sunday ceremonies began. No, […]

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March Madness Futures: Post-Selection Sunday Line Movement and Picks

Someone close to me – who happens to have played a mean game of basketball in his youth – once said he knew what his epitaph should read. “What’s that?” I asked. “3 time-outs and a field goal kicker,” he chuckled. Okay, so maybe sporting interests can change over a lifetime. But your sports-epitaph doesn’t […]

2018-19 NBA Most Valuable Player Award: Updated Betting Odds and Prediction

Traditionally there are 2 schools of thought on the National Basketball Association’s annual MVP award. Some players and coaches have always felt that the honor should go to the best player on the best team. Others have argued for a “fairness” system in which even a cager on a .500-or-worse club should win Most Valuable […]

Genius of March Madness: Everyone Wins the NCAA Tournament (Except Lousy Gamblers)

The NCAA is not the most popular brand in America. It’s accepted as common wisdom that the National Collegiate Athletics Association is corrupt and dishonest. TV journalists can’t even bring up the topic of NCAA “integrity” without slyly smirking at each other. Schools are celebrated for winning NCAA titles in various sports, but almost nobody […]

Vegas Odds and Predictions for the 2019 Ivy League Basketball Tournament

Most fans believe that the Ivy League’s basketball teams struggle to advance in the NCAA Tournament because they’re not always as big, long, fast, and talented as their March Madness opponents tend to be. That certainly explains a lot of it. But it’s not the #1 reason. The #1 reason that Ivy League programs have […]

AAC Men’s Basketball: Favorites and Sleepers in the Postseason Tourney

It’s easier to recruit 5-10 excellent basketball players to a “mid-major” college than 40-50 excellent football players. Or 20+ elite student-athletes on the rink or soccer pitch for that matter. That’s why there are so many nationally-competitive hoops teams hailing from universities which enjoy almost no name-brand recognition outside of late winter and early spring. […]

Why March Madness Futures Betting is Way More Fun Than Bracket Sweepstakes

I think I can speak for most of us when I say that Shakespeare has had his 500,000 years of fame, and that it’s time to move forward now. Oh, it’s not that I don’t like and appreciate The Bard. Among people with no grasp of older versions of English – I once sat through […]

March Madness 2019: Forecasting Duke, Gonzaga and Kentucky Team Props

I maintain that NCAA Tournament futures are a hundred times more fun to wager on than any March Madness bracket sweepstakes. More than a single game at a time happens during the Big Dance. Unless the gambler is actually in Las Vegas and surrounded by multiple live feeds on big screens at a sportsbook, it’s […]

MVC Tourney Odds and Preview: Loyola-Chicago Ramblers Aim for March Madness Return

March and early April are, for obvious reasons, good times to compare legitimate sports like college basketball with the rigged world of kayfabe soap opera. There was a wrestler named Hurricane Helms who was briefly famous over a decade ago. Helms befriended and wrestled The Rock, but his time in the WWE spotlight was short. […]

West Coast Conference Tournament: Handicapping the ‘Dogs against the Mighty Zags

In one reality, the Gonzaga Bulldogs are the Golden State Warriors of the NCAA. In a game dominated by youthful big men and speedy guards, the Zags have been busy collecting pure shooters and FIBA-style playmakers who win with a 50%+ field goal percentage and fundamentals on defense. From another POV the Bulldogs are the […]

Picking the Best March Madness Bets From the Big Ten Conference

A few years back, a member of the Big Ten geriatric society (read: a college president) went on record as saying mid-major teams are far overrated compared to the contenders from his conference, who must play, quote, “very fine schools” on a weekly basis. He was talking about the gridiron, of course, not necessarily the […]