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Most longtime fugitives on the run from the FBI are bound to get caught at some point. Over the years, many notorious criminals have been in custody and faced the penalty for their transgressions. A few notable names include Whitey Bulger, Ted Bundy, and Joaquin “El Chapo” Guzman.
The funny thing is that some betting sites offer odds on the latest criminal masterminds! I decided to dig deeper and determine whether the lines offer good value.
In this article, I provide my 2023 FBI Most Wanted betting predictions. I’m covering the most well-known fugitives currently evading the United States authorities. Let’s look at some of the most dastardly criminals and determine if they’ll get caught in 2023.
First Fugitive on the FBI Most Wanted List to Get Captured
- Yulan Adonay Archaga Carias; +300
- Omar Alexander Cardenas; +300
- Bhadreshkumar Chetanbhai Patel; +400
- Alejandro Castillo; +400
- Arnoldo Jimenez; +425
- Alexis Flores; +500
- Ruja Ignatova; +600
Yulan Adonay Archaga Carias and Omar Alexander Cardenas are co-favorites in this market. These high-profile gang members top the Most Wanted list, and the FBI is offering $100,000 each for their capture. Cardenas is wanted for murder, and Carias is wanted for racketeering and drug trafficking.
The FBI Most Wanted betting odds also indicate that Bhadreshkumar Chetanbhai Patel could be caught first in 2023. Patel allegedly killed his wife by slashing her with a knife inside a Dunkin’ Donuts where they both worked. He’s been on the run since 2015.
Another fugitive that stands out to me on this list is Alexis Flores. The FBI has been after him for allegedly kidnapping and murdering five-year-old Iriana DeJesus in Philadelphia. The incident took place back in 2000.
Flores goes by multiple aliases and has been arrested for a litany of previous crimes, including forgery and shoplifting. A DNA sample in 2007 officially linked him to the kidnapping and murder of DeJesus. He’s also the subject of an Interpol Red Notice.
The other name to consider here is Arnoldo Jimenez. He’s wanted for allegedly killing his wife back in 2012. It was only one day after their wedding when the murder took place. He allegedly stabbed her and then placed her body in the bathtub of her apartment.
There’s one other heartbreaking detail in the Jimenez case. His wife, Estrella Carrera, was still wearing her wedding dress when she was found. Carrera had a two-year-old son with Jimenez and a nine-year-old daughter from a previous relationship.
The fugitive whom I believe will be caught first in 2023 is Bhadreshkumar Patel. The fact he’s been able to avoid the authorities for so long is astounding. Also, his visa to be in the U.S. expired around the time he committed the murder.
He’s not a gang member or professional criminal, so there’s no organization hiding him. I believe Patel will be caught eventually, so the odds are good enough to give it a go.
Ruya Ignatova to Get Captured in 2023
- Yes; +800
- No; -3000
I also want to include Ruya Ignatova’s capture in my 2023 FBI Most Wanted predictions. Ignatova is a criminal fraudster who participated in a famous Ponzi scheme known as OneCoin. She disappeared in 2017 after various authorities got suspicious about her activities.
OneCoin was a large-scale operation that defrauded billions of dollars from investors. It all began back in 2014 when the cryptocurrency market was initially exploding. Before OneCoin, Ignatova was also convicted of fraud in Germany.
Ignatova initially touted OneCoin as a lucrative rival to Bitcoin. She became known as the “Crypto Queen”, who even made an extravagant appearance at London’s Wembley Arena back in 2016. The truth is OneCoin was never backed by a stable cryptocurrency with a proper blockchain.
In 2019, an indictment against Ignatova was unsealed by U.S. authorities. She was charged with wire fraud, conspiracy to launder money, and securities fraud. The FBI also suspects that she underwent plastic surgery to alter her appearance.
Another theory is that Ignatova was actually only the façade of the operation and the people behind it murdered her.
The latest news surrounding her is that police continue to investigate her associates. OneCoin co-founder Karl Sebastian Greenwood was arrested in 2018 and pled guilty to wire fraud and money laundering. Ignatova’s brother, Konstantin Ignatov, was arrested in 2019.
Is Ignatova likely to get caught in 2023 and brought to justice? I don’t expect such a scenario. The belief is she continuously changes her location to evade authorities. She’s known to have traveled from Bulgaria to Greece right after her disappearance in 2017.
That’s the last thing we know for sure, and it’s from almost six years ago. I don’t expect to see Ignatova behind bars in 2023, but the odds for that outcome are too low, and I won’t bet on this market.
Total Fugitives Captured in 2023
- Under 2.5 Captured; -140
- Over 2.5 Captured; +100
When betting on FBI Most Wanted in 2023, make sure you’re also considering the number of fugitives captured in 2022. High-profile criminals get caught all the time. They can only run for so long before they slip up and their whereabouts become known.
A famous example from 2022 is the capture of Jorge Rueda Landeros. He allegedly murdered Sue Marcum, an accounting professor at American University, back in 2010. Landeros was posing as a yoga instructor under false identities in Guadalajara for 12 years.
Although fugitives can lay low and elude the authorities, they often get caught. Landeros was roaming around free for 12 years and was eventually found. It’s safe to say that in 2023, we’ll also witness a few more captures of high-profile criminals.
Another FBI fugitive caught in 2022 was pornographic website owner Michael James Pratt. He was found in Madrid and apprehended by Spanish authorities. Pratt was charged with a 19-count indictment that included sex trafficking and the production of child pornography.
Keep in mind that Pratt became a fugitive in 2019 and was caught only three years later. He allegedly recruited his victims through false internet ads for modeling jobs. He’s also the only fugitive on the FBI’s most wanted list to be apprehended in Spain.
Let’s also consider a few statistics. As of January 2023, 529 fugitives have been featured on the FBI’s Most Wanted list. 11 of those fugitives have been women, and 494 of them were captured or located. Public assistance has also accounted for 31% of those captures/sightings.
It’s time to finish my 2023 FBI Most Wanted betting preview with a prediction on the number of fugitives captured. We can see three or more criminals behind bars before the end of the year, and the odds are good enough to place a wager.
