2023 Tour de France Odds, Prediction, and Betting Pick

Tour De France, Bike Riding, Riders, Bicyclist, Race

The Tour de France 2023 betting odds are out, and they confirm my expectations. The bookies believe the race will be a showdown between Jonas Vingegaard and Tadej Pogacar, both previous winners of the race.

Do you want to back one of them with your bets or go for someone else? I can help you find the answer with my Tour de France 2023 predictions. I analyze all the top competitors and wrap everything up with a betting pick.

Tour de France Betting Odds for 2023

  • Jonas Vingegaard; +120
  • Tadej Pogacar; +125
  • Enric Mas Nicolau; +1600
  • Jai Hindley; +2200
  • Richard Carapaz; +2800
  • Daniel Martinez; +3300

The betting odds for the Tour de France show that Vingegaard is the favorite but by the smallest of margins. Trailing him is Pogacar, another star and former winner. Next up is Enric Mas Nicolau, the only other competitor with odds that aren’t longer than +2000.

If you like one of the prices above, you can find it at Bovada. That’s one of the best online betting sites for cycling.

Tour de France 2023 Key Info and Stages

If you’re betting on the Tour de France, you need to know the format and environment in which the race takes place. The event consists of 21 stages, and it takes about a month to complete the Tour de France. The stages feature varying terrain and include an individual time trial.

Here’s a breakdown of each individual stage:

Stage Type Date Route Length
1 Hilly 7/1 Bilbao 182.5 km
2 Hilly 7/2 Vitoria-Gasteiz to San Sebastian 209 km
3 Flat 7/3 Amorebieta-Etxano to Bayonne 185 km
4 Flat 7/4 Dax to Nogaro 182 km
5 Mountain 7/5 Pau to Laruns 165 km
6 Mountain 7/6 Tarbes to Cauterets 145 km
7 Flat 7/7 Mont-de-Marsan to Bordeaux 170 km
8 Hilly 7/8 Libourne to Limoges 201 km
9 Mountain 7/9 Saint-Leonard-de-Noblat to Puy de Dome 184 km
10 Hilly 7/11 Vulcania to Issoire 167 km
11 Flat 7/12 Clermont-Ferrand to Moulins 180 km
12 Hilly 7/13 Roanne to Belleville-en-Beaujolais 169 km
13 Mountain 7/14 Chatillon-sur-Chalaronne to Grand Colombier 138 km
14 Mountain 7/15 Annemasse to Portes du Soleil 152 km
15 Mountain 7/16 Portes du Soleil to Saint-Gervais Mont Blanc 180 km
16 Individual Time Trial 7/18 Passy to Combloux 22 km
17 Mountain 7/19 Saint-Gervais Mont Blanc to Courchevel 166 km
18 Hilly 7/20 Moutiers to Bourg-en-Bresse 186 km
19 Flat 7/21 Moirans-en-Montagne to Poligny 173 km
20 Mountain 7/22 Belfort to Le Markstein Fellering 133 km
21 Flat 7/23 Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines to Paris Champs-Elysees 115 km

The entire route of the Tour de France is 3,404 kilometers (2,115 miles) in length. The competitors must traverse five of France’s mountain massifs during the race. The highest point of the Tour de France will be the Col de la Loze, with an elevation of 2,304 meters (7,559 feet).

Racers will be awarded time bonuses at the end of every stage. This includes advantages of 10, 6, and 4 seconds for the first three classified racers, respectively. Bonus points are available as well for racers at strategic points along the route.

In 2023, 12 new stage towns and other locations will be added to the route. Racers this year will also have two days of rest, and the individual time trial will take place in the Alps. The prize pool is worth 2.3 million euros, with 500,000 euros going to the general classification winner.

Tour de France 2023 will be tough, and only the best of the best will stay competitive until the very end! Let’s explore the most likely winners next.

Tour de France 2023 Favorites

I want to turn my attention to the top two contenders before I dive into my final Tour de France predictions. Vingegaard and Pogacar are the most talented competitors in this race. They’re the only two riders with short odds to win outright for a reason.

Vingegaard and Pogacar both deserve the recognition they’re getting. The two elite competitors continue to exceed expectations, and one of them is bound to win the Tour. Could someone else snatch the trophy? Yes, but Vingegaard and Pogacar are both at their best right now.

Jonas Vingegaard

  • Team: Team Jumbo–Visma
  • Age: 26
  • Tour de France Victories: 1 (2022)

In last year’s race, Vingegaard finished ahead of Pogacar to win his first Tour de France. He’s a favorite to defend his title and claim general classification victories in back-to-back years. Vingegaard has also shown that he can perform well on difficult terrain.

His victory in last year’s race remains his biggest achievement of all time. However, Vingegaard also has several other impressive wins in his young career. In 2023, he finished first in the Tour of the Basque Country, claiming three individual stages in the process.

Vingegaard can handle a grueling race with various challenges. Winning the Tour of the Basque Country against world-class competition sent a strong message to the cycling world. The Danish star is more than ready to take on the Tour de France again.

Tadej Pogacar

  • Team: UAE Team Emirates
  • Age: 24
  • Tour de France Victories: 2 (2020, 2021)

Pogacar is just as talented – and competitive – as Vingegaard. The 24-year-old Slovenian is also building an impressive legacy, even though he’s still pretty young. The two-time Tour de France champion seemingly conquers the competition at every turn.

With an incredible performance in the 2023 Paris-Nice, Pogacar is now seemingly invincible. He won three stages during the race and was in peak form the entire time. Pogacar also won the Vuelta a Andalucia this year, which is a daunting road race with multiple stages.

In the past three years, Pogacar hasn’t finished worse than second place in the Tour de France. He was runner-up behind Vingegaard last year, losing by a margin of just two minutes and 43 seconds.

I’m sure that hurt, so Pogacar will be hungry to retain the crown of the most prestigious cycling race in the world.

The Rest of the Field

Can someone stop Vingegaard and Pogacar? It’s highly unlikely because these two are just a level above the competition.

And yet, the Tour is tough and unpredictable, so you never know. A bunch of talented cyclists will be hoping to leave a mark this year. If you want to learn more about them, check my post on the best Tour de France sleepers in 2023.

2023 Tour de France Betting Pick

Who’s it going to be – Vingegaard or Pogacar? It’s a difficult decision to make. If I had to pick one of them, it’s Pogacar. I think he’s ready to redeem himself after a runner-up performance in 2022.

The guy loves the Tour, and his entire year is scheduled around peaking for this race. Another victory is a very likely scenario, so the odds of +125 seem generous.

My Pick:
Tadej Pogacar to win