2023 Nobel Literature Prize Odds, Favorites, and Prediction

Nobel, Prize, Entertainment, Actors

The Nobel Prize for Literature is often recognized as the greatest honor in the writing world. It’s an extremely prestigious achievement, but the winners are also notoriously difficult to predict. That’s exactly what I’m going to try in this post on the latest Nobel Literature Prize 2023 betting odds.

I analyze them and share my thoughts on all the top contenders. At the end of the article, you will find my prediction for the Nobel Prize for Literature winner in 2023.

Nobel Prize Literature 2023 Betting Odds

  • Haruki Murakami; +300
  • Can Xue; +400
  • Gerald Murnane; +1200
  • Jon Fosse; +1200
  • Pierre Michon; +1200
  • Thomas Pynchon; +1200

Haruki Murakami is the main favorite according to the betting odds for the Nobel Literature Prize in 2023. The legendary Japanese author has been nominated for the award multiple times. Closely following Murakami is Can Xue, an avant-garde fiction writer from China.

The odds listed above are available at Bovada, so feel free to visit the sportsbook if you see a bet you like right now.

Main Contenders for the Nobel Prize in Literature 2023

Let’s begin with the authors with the best chance of nabbing the award. This year, the consensus is there’s a two-race between Xue and Murakami. However, you can’t ignore the fact that the Nobel Prize in Literature is difficult to predict.

The Swedish Academy, which consists of 18 members, is in charge of selecting the nominated authors. The Nobel Committee for Literature evaluates the nominees and offers its recommendations. The Academy then selects a recipient of the Nobel Prize.

It’s a complicated process, and you never know what’s going to happen, but the following writers are the most likely winners in 2023.

Haruki Murakami

  • Age: 74
  • Country: Japan

When betting on the Nobel Prize in Literature, someone you can’t ignore is Murakami. He’s been a prime candidate for the award in previous years, yet he can’t seem to cross the finish. His Japanese supporters will tell you that the Academy has snubbed him too many times.

Murakami initially emerged as a contender for the Nobel Prize back in 2007. His name now comes up all the time as one of the hopefuls to capture the prestigious honor. Murakami’s fans have high expectations every year, but they’re often disappointed.

Info Box Icon

No one knows why Murakami has yet to claim the Nobel Prize. Many people speculate he hasn't made enough political statements in his work to satisfy the Academy. Authors who focus on certain social issues often win the award.

Does Murakami deserve the Nobel Prize? He’s certainly an accomplished author beloved not only by the people of Japan but the entire world. The problem, though, is that the Academy usually favors someone who shares their worldview.

This could once again become the reason why Murakami is snubbed. At this point, it feels like the writer might never receive the honor.

Can Xue

  • Age: 69
  • Country: China

Not long ago, Can Xue was in contention for the Nobel Prize in Literature. She was nominated back in 2019 but lost out to Peter Handke. Xue, whose real name is Deng Xiaohua, didn’t initially have a literary background and spent many years as a common laborer.

Xue published her first novella called Old Floating Cloud in 1986. However, her most notable work is Love in the New Millennium, a novel released in 2013. The Chinese writer is known for her ambitious and experimental narrative crafting.

Books written by Xue often make use of symbolism to simulate dream-like and fantastical worlds. Literary pundits have compared her stylistically to Franz Kafka. Her writing also intermixes elements of Western and Chinese culture.

Should you back Xue with your Nobel Literature Prize 2023 prediction? She’s a pretty solid option when you compare her to the other contenders. If you add the excellent betting odds, that might be the best choice.

Gerald Murnane

  • Age: 84
  • Country: Australia

The betting odds for the Nobel Literature Prize in 2023 also indicate that Gerald Murnane is in contention. The Australian author published his first book in 1974; since then, he’s released several novels and short story collections.

Murnane has also been nominated for the Nobel Prize before but can’t seem to win it. He’s a prolific English-language writer who truly doesn’t get enough recognition. Murnane has a reputation for being reclusive, having rarely ventured off beyond his home state of Victoria.

Although Murnane isn’t very well known, he’s still a fantastic writer. He’s very technical and deliberate with his words. His fiction often delves into half-memories and quasi-anecdotes from his life. Most literary experts will tell you that Murnane is in a class of his own, but I’m not sure that would be enough for the Nobel Prize this year.

Sleepers for the Nobel Prize for 2023

I’ll say it once again: the Nobel Prize for Literature is extremely unpredictable. In 2016, the Academy gave the award to Bob Dylan, a singer-songwriter and not even a writer. Someone completely unexpected could become the next recipient, which is why you should explore the potential sleepers.

In my view, the most notable underdog is Cormac McCarthy. He’s an excellent writer, celebrated internationally for his work. However, if you follow the Nobel Prize in Literature, you know that the Academy doesn’t favor popular authors.

The other name that jumps out to me is Stephen King. He’s pioneered multiple genres, including horror and supernatural fiction. Several of his novels have also been adapted into TV shows and feature films.

King definitely deserves the award, but again, I’m not sure he’s the kind of person who fits the jury’s expectations.

2023 Nobel Prize Literature Prediction and Betting Pick

The safest pick is Xue, so I’m backing her to win. Does she engage with social and political issues in her work? Not necessarily, but her writing offers deeply humanistic insights, which appeals to the Academy.

The Nobel Prize in Literature betting odds could also change and update at any time. The winner isn’t announced until October, so there’s still a long time to go. My betting pick is Xue, but I advise that you pay close attention to the lines as October approaches.

My Pick:
Xue to win