2023 Giro d’Italia Odds, Predictions, and Betting Pick

Giro d'Italia, Biking, Sports, Race, Racers

It’s almost time for the 2023 Giro d’Italia, the first cycling Grand Tour of the year! The top athletes in the world will fight for ultimate glory in this gruesome three-week race that presents all sorts of challenges.

Picking the winner is never easy, but that’s what I will try to do in this article. I analyze the latest betting odds and the top favorites before sharing my Giro d’Italia 2023 prediction and best bet.

Giro d’Italia Betting Odds for 2023

  • Remco Evenepoel; +110
  • Primoz Roglic; +200
  • Geraint Thomas; +550
  • Aleksandr Vlasov; +1200
  • Jay Vine; +1600
  • Joao Almeida; +1600

Remco Evenepoel is the leader in the Giro d’Italia 2023 betting odds but by a small margin. Trailing him is Primoz Roglic, a veteran cyclist from Slovenia. Both Evenepoel and Roglic are seeking their first general classification victory in the Giro d’Italia.

The other notable names here include Geraint Thomas and Aleksandr Vlasov. Thomas should be fully healthy for the race, having missed multiple events recently due to illness. Vlasov has yet to win a Grand Tour event, but he’s getting there.

I used Bovada’s odds for this race, one of the leading sports betting sites for US players. If you see a price above that you like, that’s where you’ll find it.

For non-US players, I recommend using Betway. The sportsbook offers excellent betting odds for the 2023 Giro d’Italia, and there will be live options and stage winner markets when the competition begins.

Giro d’Italia 2023 Key Info

If you’re going to bet on the Giro d’Italia, you should learn everything you can about the race. This includes information on the route, stages, and key dates. The Giro d’Italia in 2023 will also feature three individual time trials.

Here’s a breakdown of the route and schedule for the entire race:

Stage Date Start-Finish Distance
Stage 1 May 6 Costa dei Trabocchi – Ortona 19.6 km (12.2 miles)
Stage 2 May 7 Teramo – San Salvo 201 km (124.9 miles)
Stage 3 May 8 Vasto – Melfi 216 km (134.2 miles)
Stage 4 May 9 Venosa – Lago Laceno 175 km (108.7 miles)
Stage 5 May 10 Atripalda – Salerno 171 km (106.3 miles)
Stage 6 May 11 Napoli – Napoli 162 km (100.7 miles)
Stage 7 May 12 Capua – Gran Sasso d’Italia 218 km (135.5 miles)
Stage 8 May 13 Terni – Fossombrone 207 km (128.6 miles)
Stage 9 May 14 Savignano sul Rubicone – Cesena 35 km (21.7 miles)
Stage 10 May 16 Scandiano – Viareggio 196 km (121.8 miles)
Stage 11 May 17 Camaiore – Tortona 219 km (136.1 miles)
Stage 12 May 18 Bra – Rivoli 179 km (111.2 miles)
Stage 13 May 19 Borgofranco d’Ivrea – Crans Montana 207 km (128.6 miles)
Stage 14 May 20 Sierre – Cassano Magnago 193 km (119.9 miles)
Stage 15 May 21 Seregno – Bergamo 195 km (121.2 miles)
Stage 16 May 23 Sabbio Chiese – Monte Bondone 203 km (126.1 miles)
Stage 17 May 24 Pergine Valsugana – Caorle 195 km (121.2 miles)
Stage 18 May 25 Oderzo – Val di Zoldo 161 km (100 miles)
Stage 19 May 26 Longarone – Tre Cime di Lavaredo 183 km (113.7 miles)
Stage 20 May 27 Tarvisio – Monte Lussari 18.6 km (11.6 miles)
Stage 21 May 28 Roma – Roma 135 km (83.9 miles)

The three-week event includes two days of rest for the competitors. The route also travels through various terrain, including high mountains, summits, and flat surfaces. Only the most versatile and durable athletes can win this one.

If you want a more detailed breakdown of the different stages, I recommend checking the Giro d’Italia route on the official page of the race.

Top Favorites for Giro d’Italia 2023

It’s time to turn my attention to the main favorites in the race. These top contenders have the best chance of winning the general classification. I always recommend doing your homework before submitting your Giro predictions.

Everyone knows that Evenepoel and Roglic are two of the best racers in the world. However, neither of them has won the Giro d’Italia. That’s why the best sports betting sites all suggest that the race will witness a first-time winner this year.

Remco Evenepoel

  • Age: 23
  • Team: Soudal–Quick-Step

The Belgian newcomer is already well-established in the world of pro cycling. Evenepoel has won several major events in his young racing career, including the Vuelta a Espana. However, there’s another reason why he enters the event as the main favorite.

Several notable racers likely won’t be competing in the Giro d’Italia this year. They include Tadej Pogacar, Jonas Vingegaard, Egan Bernal, and several others who will probably focus on Tour de France. Those absences are boosting Evenepoel’s favorability big time in the Giro betting odds.

Is Evenepoel the best rider on the planet? The answer is no, but he’s not far behind. The Belgian competitor has focused 100% of his attention on this event. He also recently finished runner-up in the Volta a Catalunya in March, proving he’s entering peak form for the Giro.

Primoz Roglic

  • Age: 33
  • Team: Team Jumbo–Visma

Roglic certainly has enough accomplishments to be recognized as a legendary cyclist, but I’m sure he wants to achieve more.

The problem is that he’ll be turning 34 years old soon and coming after a season full of injuries. Still, Roglic was able to win the 2023 Volta a Catalunya despite his recent struggles.

Is Roglic still at the top of his game? He’s off to a strong start in 2023 and not showing any signs of slowing down. Roglic is also arguably in the best shape of his career, but again, his age could be catching up to him soon.

Overall, I think Roglic is a solid betting option to win the race. At the 2023 Tirreno–Adriatico, he finished first in the general classification while winning multiple stages. That’s a good sign the Slovenian is fit and ready for bigger triumphs.

Geraint Thomas

  • Age: 36
  • Team: Ineos Grenadiers

Here’s another veteran cyclist who will be hoping to perform well at the Giro. Geraint Thomas will turn 37 years old right before the Giro d’Italia begins. This could be one of his last chances to win another Grand Tour in his career.

When it comes to Giro d’Italia, Thomas also tends to struggle. His best finish was 80th back in 2012. Since then, he’s had two DNFs in the race, which includes a bad crash in 2020 in which he broke his pelvis.

Thomas’ career includes plenty of milestones and accomplishments. He was the 2018 Tour de France champion, although this was the only Grand Tour race he ever won. Thomas is still an excellent competitor, but the Giro d’Italia hasn’t been favorable to him.

Aleksander Vlasov

  • Age: 27
  • Team: Bora–Hansgrohe

Aleksander Vlasov is another name that you need to watch in this race. His career took off in 2019 when he won the Russian National Road Championships. Since then, he’s only gotten better, and I expect a lot from him soon.

It’s only a matter of time before Vlasov wins a Grand Tour race. He finished fifth in the 2022 Tour de France and fourth in the 2021 Giro d’Italia, so Vlasov is knocking at the door.

2023 Giro d’Italia Prediction and Betting Pick

I’m going with Roglic to win it all when with my Giro d’Italia 2023 predictions. He’s in peak form and has a ton of momentum entering the race. The Slovenian’s experience should also benefit him because he knows what it takes to win a Grand Tour event.

The other contenders deserve respect, but I believe Roglic has the best combination of experience and current fitness to win the Giro. The odds of +200 for him are high enough, so I’m going for it.

Odds:
+200
My Pick:
Primoz Roglic