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Expert Team

UFC 247 Prelims Undercard Betting Odds and Predictions

Jon Jones vs Dominick Reyes Undercard - UFC 247 Logo

The UFC returns on Saturday night for UFC 247 at the Toyota Center in Houston, Texas.

Jon Jones will defend the UFC light heavyweight championship against Dominick Reyes in the main event which will be shown via PPV. In the co-main event, Valentina Shevchenko will defend the UFC women’s flyweight belt against Katlyn Chookagian. A heavyweight showdown between Juan Adams and Justin Tafa will precede the two title bouts.

The Pay Per View main card will be preceded by an intriguing preliminary card that has been riddled by injuries. Let’s take a look at some of the key prelims undercard bouts for UFC 247 and preview these bouts:

Andre Ewell vs Jonathan Martinez

Andre Ewell is the former CES MMA bantamweight champion. The 32-year old had a 13-4 record when he joined the UFC. Ewell defeated Renan Barao via split decision in his UFC debut. He is coming off a TKO loss against Marlon Vera in October 2019. Mr. Highlight stands 5-11 with a reach of 76 inches and fights as a southpaw. He has a record of 15-6 with seven knockouts and four submissions.

Jonathan Martinez has fought since 2014 and entered the UFC with a 9-1 record. After losing his UFC debut against Andre Soukhamhath in 2018, he won back to back fights last year. The 25-year old stands 5-8 with a reach of 70 inches and is also a southpaw fighter. His record currently stands at 11-2 with six knockouts and two wins by submission.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Ewell (-120) | Martinez (+100)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

Ewell is a dangerous striker but his grappling issues have prevented him from joining the rank of contenders. However, his unique striking ability may be enough to win this fight. Martinez will have all sorts of trouble dealing with Ewell’s range and without a good takedown game to slow him down, Martinez is going to get outboxed. Make no mistake, if he can take Ewell down on the mat for long stretches, he can win this. But to me, that’s unlikely. Ewell has the length and boxing skills to take Martinez apart from long range.

ODDS-120

MY PICK:
Andre Ewell

Domingo Pilarte vs Journey Newson

Domingo Pilarte made his way to the UFC through Dana White’s Contender Series. He made his UFC debut at UFC on ESPN 4 but lost a decision to Felipe Colares. Pilarte is from Houston so he will have the crowd behind him here. “Son of Fire” stands 6-0 tall with a reach of 73 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance. Pilarte has a record of 8-2 with two knockouts and four submission wins.

Journey Newson made his promotional debut at UFC on ESPN 3 where he dropped a decision to Ricardo Ramos. That loss ended a six-fight winning streak for the 30-year old fighter. Newson is 5-5 tall and has a reach of 67 inches and is an orthodox fighter. He has a record of 9-2 with three knockouts and three submission victories.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Pilarte (-120) | Newson (+100)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

We are going to see a striking battle here because I’ve seen these two fighters struggle on their back in previous fights. Their grappling should offset each other and the fighter with the better skills on his feet will win this bout. Pilarte’s height and reach advantage should give him the edge in that department. He suffered a knockdown against Vince Morales and has a suspect defense but Newson doesn’t have the same punching power so I don’t think that will be a problem here. I like Pilarte to win in a bout that will be fought mostly on the feet.

ODDS-120

MY PICK:
Domingo Pilarte

Lauren Murphy vs Andrea Lee

Lauren Murphy is the 6th ranked female flyweight in the UFC. The 36-year old stands 5-5 tall with a reach of 67 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. Murphy is a former Invicta FC bantamweight champion and former participant of TUF 26 where she fought as a flyweight. She lost in the opening round to eventual winner Nicco Montano but has won back to back fights since then.

Andrea Lee is currently the #8 ranked female flyweight in the UFC. Lee is a former Legacy FC flyweight champion and LFA women’s flyweight champion. She won Fight of the Night honors during her UFC debut where she defeated Veronica Mercado in 2018. Lee stands 5-6 with a reach of 69 inches and fights as an orthodox fighter. She has a record of 11-3 with four submissions and two knockout wins.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Murphy (+300) | Lee(-375)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

Murphy is no pushover because she is a former Invicta FC bantamweight champion. Had this fight been at Invicta a couple of years back, Murphy would have been an interesting pick. She could’ve used her grappling attack to limit Lee against the fence or in her guard. But Lee has improved her grappling and now can get back on her feet after getting taken down. I don’t think Murphy can do enough on the ground to offset the damage Lee is going to deliver in the stand-up. I’m going with the favorite here.

ODDS-375

MY PICK:
Andrea Lee

Alex Morono vs Kalinn Williams

Alex Morono is the former Legacy FC welterweight champion. The 29-year old stands 5-11 with a reach of 72 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. He has a record of 18-5 with five knockouts and six submissions. He is 6-2 with one no-decision in the UFC. Morono has won four out of his last five bouts and is coming off a decision win over Max Griffin. He was supposed to fight Dhiego Lima but the latter withdrew from the bout with a neck injury.

Kalinn Williams took this fight on seven-day notice. He has a record of 9-1 with four knockouts and one submission victory. The Michigan native has won six consecutive fights and is coming off a win over former Bellator fighter Jeremie Holloway. The Ox Fighter stands 6-0 with a reach of 77 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Morono (-310) | Williams (+260)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

Williams can finish fights with submissions or knockouts but this is a step-up in level of opposition for him and he is filling in for an injured Dhiego Lima. Morono won’t be a walk in the park and isn’t an easy opponent for anyone’s UFC debut. Although he doesn’t have standout athleticism, he can make up for that with intensity and fighting spirit. He also has a BJJ black belt so he won’t be a pushover on the mat. Williams has only beaten four opponents with winning record. I think Williams needs to finish Morono to win this fight and that is a tough task.

ODDS-310

MY PICK:
Alex Morono

Trevin Giles vs Antonio Arroyo

Trevin Giles joined the UFC in 2017 and picked up back to back knockout wins over
James Bochnovic and Antonio Braga Neto. But he took a break to pursue his ambition to become a policeman. Since his return, Giles has lost back to back fights. The 27-year old stands 6-0 tall with a reach of 74 inches while fighting out of the orthodox stance. He has a record of 11-2 with five knockouts and five submission wins.

Antonio Arroyo was a contestant in the Contender Series: Brazil but didn’t earn his UFC contract there. However, after submitting Stephen Regman in a subsequent bout on the show, he finally made it to the UFC. Arroyo made his debut in November 2019 but suffered his first loss since 2017 to Andre Muniz. He stands 6-3 with a reach of 73 inches and fights out of the orthodox stance. Arroyo is 9-3 with four knockouts and four submission victories.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Giles (-135) | Arroyo (+115)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

Giles can finish fights and his 10 stoppages are split between submissions and knockouts. He has the takedown ability to replicate what Andre Muniz did to defeat Arroyo in November 2019. If he engages in a long-range striking battle, Giles could be in trouble. Arroyo is two inches taller and he could end knocking Giles out cold with a head kick. But for as long as he puts the pressure on and keeps Arroyo on his back foot, this is a fight that should go to Giles. He has better boxing and has the edge in the takedown game.

ODDS-135

MY PICK:
Trevin Giles

Austin Lingo vs Youssef Zalal

Austin Lingo was a standout at Fortis MMA who will be making his UFC debut in this fight. Lights Out has an undefeated record of 7-0 with three knockouts and two wins by submission. Lingo stands 5-10 with a reach of 70 inches and is an orthodox fighter. His last three wins have come via stoppage in a total time of 63 seconds.

Youssef Zalal also fought for Legacy Fighting Alliance. Zalal has a record of 7-2 with two knockouts and five victories by submission. The Factory X product stands 5-10 with a reach of 72 inches and is a switch hitter. The Moroccan Devil lost two consecutive bouts before winning his last bout via an impressive flying knee.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Lingo (-192) | Zalal (+167)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 02/06/20

We have two young prospects here who can finish the fight on the ground or their feet. They have been fighting professionally for almost the same period and both have fought the same level of competition. I think this is an even fight and both fighters have a real chance of winning this fight. I won’t blame you if you take Zalal because he is at plus money here. However, Lingo to me is the more developed fighter at this stage of their careers and when it comes to skill, I think he is more complete. The icing on the cake for me is that he likes to end fights as soon as that opening bell rings and I think he is going to buzz Zalal here.

ODDS-192

MY PICK:
Austin Lingo