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Top College Football and NFL Picks for October 17/18, 2020

NFL College Footbal Best Bets 10-17/18-2020
Saturday’s college football schedule is jam-packed with games. Sunday’s NFL slate includes a dozen matchups. Rather than try and cover every base, you’re better off hand-picking a few from each menu.

That’s exactly what I’ve done here to create an organized list of the best football bets this weekend.

Fire away where you see fit.

West Virginia Mountaineers (-22.5) -108

We know Kansas will be 0-4 after Saturday’s game in Morgantown. The question is, how large of a beatdown are the Mountaineers going to lay on the Jayhawks?

Before you answer that question, consider that Les Miles’ group lost by 33 to Baylor in their Big 12 Opener. The following weekend Kansas got blasted by 40 at home against Oklahoma State. Miles has been absent all week dealing with his health and the team admittingly announced they have no backup plan in place.

And we’re supposed to believe that KU is going to keep pace at West Virginia?

The Mountaineers already defeated the same Baylor team that rocked the Jayhawks, and I’m confident Neal Brown’s defense will suffocate Miles Kendrick. Heading into Saturday, Kansas has converted just 22% of third downs – the third-lowest mark in all of the FBS.

Mississippi Rebels (-1.5) -115

I was targeting Ole Miss early in the week when they were laying -2.5 points at most of the top sportsbooks. Seeing the line drop to the Rebels -1.5 is music to my ears, and it’s more than enough incentive to pull the trigger.

Arkansas played Auburn tough at Jordan-Hare, and they picked up a road win in Starkville. Sam Pittman deserves credit for the product he’s put on the field, but Lane Kiffin’s roster is way, way more explosive. As poorly as Mississippi’s defense has been, this game will in all likelihood turn into a shootout – hence the massive 75-point total.

In that case, I’m siding with the bunch led by Matt Corral and Elijah Moore.

Tennessee Volunteers (-6) -110

This is a golden opportunity to take advantage of what some sharps call, “reverse recency bias.” Tennessee got smacked in a nationally-televised game last Saturday against Georgia. As soon as that game ended, the Wildcats were showcased dismantling a Mississippi State team that the public saw beat LSU.

It’s no surprise the Vols immediately dipped to -6 after opening at -7.

Mark Stoops does an excellent job game planning on defense, but the output of his offense is somewhat capped. On the flip side, Jarrett Guarantano already passed the test at South Carolina and leads a much more dynamic bunch.

Keep in mind – Stoops and his crew were a much better team (ranked 11th in the nation) the last time they traveled to Neyland Stadium (2018). Jeremy Pruitt’s men were able to stomp on the Cats then, and they should be able to stomp on the Cats now.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers to Win (-104)

Switching gears to the NFL for three more of the best football bets this weekend, I’m zooming straight to the marquee matchup between Tom Brady and Aaron Rodgers. The Packers are sitting pretty at 4-0 as A-Rod looks like a genuine MVP contender. The Buccaneers lost in Chicago on TNF and are dealing with a banged-up receiving core.

From the outside looking in, one would safely assume that Green Bay should have no qualms handling the Bucs on Sunday. Nevertheless, there’s a reason why this game is a Pick’Em at lots of bookmakers. Tampa Bay is playing at home and has additional time to rest/prepare. TB also has the athletes in place to impede on Aaron Jones’ progress.

Note:

Monitor Chris Godwin’s status as we inch toward the kickoff. So long as the speedster is good to go, go ahead and back the Buccaneers with confidence.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-3) -120

I was high on Pittsburgh before the year started and am hardly surprised by their 4-0 start. The fact that Cleveland has surged lately is actually good news for bettors who want to attack this matchup.

See, Pitt opened at -5.5 but the bookies had to scramble after the Browns beat the Colts. What that tells me is the appropriate odds for the Browns vs. Steelers matchup isn’t really Pittsburgh -3, but closer to that original number.

Baker Mayfield has looked good as of late, but Mike Tomlin’s front seven will be foaming at the mouth at an opportunity to apply pressure on the Browns QB. If one thing is certain, it’s that there won’t be any love lost when these two franchises clash on Heinz Field on Sunday.

Note:

Also worth noting – Cleveland sent Odell Beckham Jr. home on Thursday citing an illness.

Washington Football Team vs. New York Giants (Over 43) -110

The Giants will host their second game of the season at MetLife Stadium this weekend. The G-Men were disastrous last time in East Rutherford – surrendering 36 points to a Nick Mullens-led Niners squad that was playing without George Kittle.

Washington has played a couple of road games thus far, yielding 30 or more points in each.

So why is this total sitting way down at 43?

Sure, neither of these offenses are very efficient, but these defenses are even more unreliable. Antonio Gibson should be able to find creases in a New York D that is allowing opponents to convert a whopping 53.9% of their third downs.

If Daniel Jones can’t look good against a suspect Washington secondary, perhaps he’s not warranted as being a starting QB in the National Football League.

Summary

Of the best football bets highlighted on this page, did anything pique your interest? Three college games and three NFL games give you a chance to get in on the action all weekend long.

The only thing left to do is to head to the best online betting sites now and start locking these wagers in.