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Pittsburgh Steelers vs Cleveland Browns NFL Betting Odds and Pick

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The Pittsburgh Steelers head to the FirstEnergy Stadium to meet the Cleveland Browns in an AFC North matchup on Thursday night.

The Steelers started the season with a 1-4 record with Ben Roethlisberger suffering an elbow injury. But they have remained alive in the playoff hunt after winning their last four games. On the other hand, the Cleveland Browns have struggled to cope with the preseason expectations. The Browns dropped four in a row after opening the season at 2-2. As it stands now, the Steelers are 2nd in the AFC North with a 5-4 record while the Browns are third at 3-6.

Playoff Hopes Alive

After starting their season with a 0-3 SU record, the Pittsburgh Steelers have kept their playoff hopes alive with five wins in their last six games including the last four. In their last outing, the Steelers defeated the Los Angeles Rams 17-12. Their defense took center stage as the Steelers allowed just a total of 306 yards including only 88 on the ground.

Mason Rudolph has thrown for a total of 1,330 yards with 11 touchdowns and four interceptions since taking over from the injured Ben Roethlisberger. Juju Smith-Schuster leads the Steelers with 36 receptions for 503 yards with three touchdown catches. James Conner has rushed the ball 97 times and has collected 380 rushing yards with four rushing touchdowns.

The Steelers rank 27th in the league in passing yards at 205.6 yards per game. Pittsburgh is also 27th on the ground with an average of 83.2 rushing yards per contest. The Steelers are scoring an average of 21.4 points per game and are giving up an average of 20.1 points per outing.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Steelers (+132) | Browns (-152)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 11/12/19

First Home Win

The Cleveland Browns head to week 11 on the heels of their first home win of the season. The Browns defeated the Buffalo Bills 19-16 to snap a four-game losing streak. Baker Mayfield completed 26-38 passes for 238 yards with two touchdowns while Nick Chubb rushed for 116 yards on 20 carries.

Mayfield has struggled this season and he has thrown for 2,201 yards with 9 touchdowns and 12 interceptions. Chubb has a total of 919 rushing yards on 174 carries with six touchdowns scored. Meanwhile, Jarvis Landry has caught 45 passes for 652 receiving yards with two touchdowns.

The Browns rank 19th in the NFL with an average of 224.6 passing yards per game. Cleveland is 13th overall with an average of 123.9 rushing yards per contest. They are also scoring 19.0 points per game this season but are allowing their opponents to score 24.6 points per outing.

Who Wins?

Pittsburgh is 5-1 SU in their last six games played and 1-2 SU in three road games played this season. The Steelers are 4-1 SU in their last five games against the AFC conference. Cleveland is 1-4 SU in their last five games played. The Browns are 1-3 SU in their four home games played this season, 3-14 SU in their last 17 games played in November, and 0-5 SU in their last five-week 11 games played. Head to head, the Steelers are 8-1-1 SU in their last 10 games played against the Browns.

The Steelers have struggled to run the football in the last three weeks, ranking in the bottom three in the league during that period. James Conner has missed their last two games with a shoulder injury but he may return in this game. Should that happen, the Steelers are going to have a huge boost. Pittsburgh heads to this match as the NFL betting underdogs.

Nick Chubb has rushed for at least 116 yards in three out of the last four games played by the Browns. Chubb is ranked second to Christian McCaffrey with 5.28 yards per rush this season. As for Baker Mayfield, he will need his line to help him against a Steelers’ pass rush that has recorded an average of 4.3 sacks per game in their last three games played.

Cleveland’s offensive line has too many holes and Pittsburgh’s pass rush is going to exploit that on Thursday. With Cleveland not wanting to leave this game at the hands of the inconsistent Baker Mayfield, their best shot to win this game is to run the football with Nick Chubb. The Pittsburgh rush defense ranks in the middle of the league so the Browns might take that chance. The Steelers’ defense should be able to force turnovers and convert them to points. Mason Rudolph should be able to manage the lead and give the Steelers a win here.

ODDS-182

MY PICK:
Pittsburgh Steelers

Other Bets to Make

The Steelers are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games played. Pittsburgh is 2-1 ATS in three road games played this season and 4-1-1 ATS in their last six games played against the AFC North Division. The Browns are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games played. Cleveland is also 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games played at home. Head to head, the Browns are 5-4-1 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Steelers.

Spread Odds:

  • Steelers +2.5 (+108) | Browns -2.5 (-128)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 11/12/19

The Steelers have outscored the Browns by an average of 5.9 points per game in their last 10 games played and by 6.33 points per game in their previous three meetings. Pittsburgh’s pressure on Baker Mayfield should result in turnovers which the Steelers can convert to points on the other end of the field. I expect a tight game but the Steelers should win by at least a field goal here.

ODDS+108

MY PICK:
Steelers +2.5

The total has gone under in five out of the Steelers’ last seven games played. The under is 3-0 in Pittsburgh’s three road games played this season and the under is 8-1 in their last nine games played on the road. The total has gone under in five out of the last five games played by the Browns. The over is 4-1 in Cleveland’s last five games against the AFC North Division. Head to head, the over is 4-1 in the last five meetings between these two teams but the total has gone under in five out of Cleveland’s last six home games against Pittsburgh.

Over/Under Odds:

  • Over 40 (-110) | Under 40 (-110)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 11/12/19

These teams have combined to score 44.5 points per game in their last 10 meetings and 48.33 points per game in their previous three encounters, with all three going over. Pittsburgh’s pass rush has been solid in the last three weeks and they are going to force the Browns to run the football here in what should be a low-scoring affair.

ODDS-110

MY PICK:
Under 40