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New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings 03/11/20 NBA Betting Odds and Pick

New Orleans Pelicans vs Sacramento Kings Logos - NBA Logo

The New Orleans Pelicans head to the Golden 1 Center to take on the Sacramento Kings on 03/11/20.

The Pelicans and Kings are both chasing the final playoff spot in the Western Conference. They are currently tied for 9th place with identical 28-36 records after Tuesday’s games. New Orleans has won back to back games and has split their last 10 games played. Sacramento has won seven out of its last 10 assignments but is coming off a loss to the Raptors. New Orleans defeated Sacramento 117-115 in their first meeting of the season last January 4, 2020.

Four-Game Road Trip

The New Orleans Pelicans opened their four-game road trip with a 120-107 win over the Minnesota Timberwolves last Sunday for their second straight victory. The Pelicans are 13-7 SU in their last 20 games and they have won 15 out of their last 18 games against opponents with a losing record.

Jrue Holiday had a big night with 37 points, 9 rebounds, and 8 assists to lead the Pelicans. Zion Williamson scored 23 points on 9-15 shooting from the floor while Lonzo Ball added 18 points and eight assists. Brandon Ingram posted a double-double with 15 points and 12 rebounds for New Orleans.

New Orleans ranks 4th in the league in scoring at 116.2 points per game this season. They are 4th overall in rebounding at 47.0 boards grabbed per contest and 3rd in passing at 27.0 assists per game. The Pelicans, however, have the 4th worst scoring defense in the league this season at 117.0 points per game allowed.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Pelicans (-120) | Kings (+100)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 03/11/20

Tied for Ninth Place

The Sacramento Kings are coming off a loss to the Toronto Raptors. The loss was only their third in 10 games since the All-Star break and it moved them down to a tie with the Pelicans for 9th place in the Eastern Conference, four games behind the 8th seeded Memphis Grizzlies.

De’Aaron Fox led Sacramento with 28 points on 8-16 shooting from the field. Alex Len had 15 points and seven rebounds while Kent Bazemore added 15 points and six boards for Sacramento. Buddy Hield struggled with only 11 points on 4-12 shooting while Bogdan Bogdanovic shot 4-10 and finished with only nine points.

The Kings rank 23rd in the league in scoring at 109.0 points per game. They are 17th in scoring defense at 110.9 opponents points per game allowed. Sacramento is also 27th in the NBA in rebounding at 42.5 boards per contest and is 22nd in passing at 23.4 assists per game.

Who Wins?

The Pelicans are 2-3 SU in their last five games played. New Orleans is 3-2 SU in their last five games played on the road, 1-4 SU in their last five games played against the Western Conference, and 2-8 SU in their last 10 games played against the Pacific Division. The Kings are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played. New Orleans is 3-2 SU in their last five games played at home, and 4-2 SU in their last six games played in March. Head to head, the Pelicans are 7-3 SU in their last 10 games played against the Kings.

New Orleans heads to California after back to back wins over the Heat and Timberwolves. Jrue Holiday is coming off one of his best games of the season and Zion Williamson continues to impress. The Pelicans are healthy and they have plenty of talent sitting on their bench.

The Kings have battled back to playoff contention and although they are coming off a loss to the Raptors, they have won four out of their last six games played. Sacramento also has plenty of firepower with Fox, Hield, and Bogdanovic but this team hasn’t been a potent scoring team all year long.

Both these teams are battling to get in the playoffs. But when you look at these teams, the Pelicans clearly have more talent. New Orleans defeated Sacramento in their previous meeting and Williamson didn’t play in that game. The Pelicans are a very different team since he arrived. Zion will make the difference here.

ODDS-120

MY PICK:
New Orleans Pelicans

Other Bets to Make

New Orleans is 3-2 ATS in their last five games played. The Pelicans are 5-1 ATS in their last six games played on the road. Sacramento is 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played. The Kings are 2-2-1 ATS in their last five games played at home, and 6-0 ATS in their last six games played against the Western Conference. Head to head, the Pelicans are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games played against the Kings.

Spread Odds:

  • Pelicans -1.5 (-110) | Kings +1.5 (-110)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 03/11/20

The Pelicans made 16 three-pointers in their first meeting against the Kings. Although I don’t expect them to hit those many threes on Wednesday night, New Orleans is shooting 37.2% from deep this season. The Kings have enough shooters on board but they have not been as consistent. The Pelicans’ shooters should open up the lanes for Zion and Ingram to operate. I’ll lay the points here.

ODDS-110

MY PICK:
Pelicans -1.5

The total has gone under in five out of the last eight games played by the Pelicans. New Orleans has seen the total go under in three out of their last five road games. The total has gone over in four out of the last five games played by the Kings. Sacramento has seen the total go over in four out of their last five games played on the road. Head to head, the total has gone over in eight out of the last 10 games played by these two teams.

Over/Under Odds:

  • Over 235 (-110) | Under 235 (-110)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 03/11/20

The Pelicans are giving up 117.0 points per game this season so although the Kings haven’t been a potent offensive team this season, they should be able to score enough points to help New Orleans get the total to over 235 points. Sacramento has allowed at least 118 points in three out of their last four games played and the Pelicans’ 4th ranked offense should do the job here.

ODDS-110

MY PICK:
Over 235