If you’re anything like me, you’re still working on picking up your jaw off the ground from reading the announcement of this super fight between Conor McGregor and Khabib Nurmagomedov. The term super fight doesn’t even seem to do the magnitude of this clash the proper justice it deserves. The two will meet at UFC 229 in October of this year in Las Vegas, Nevada.
Conor McGregor, one of the most electrifying mixed martial arts fighter of our time looks to make his return to the octagon after almost a year hiatus. During that time McGregor stayed “busy”, though. He boxed boxing legend Floyd Mayweather and spent a little time in the courtroom after throwing a hand cart through the window of a bus full of other fighters.
While he “lost” against Mayweather, he certainly was victorious in his wallet where he always said his main aspirations lied. If you disagree, let the number $100 million float around in your head and tell me you still think he “lost” that fight.
While most would take a cupcake fight to knock off the ring rust, McGregor is not most. He’s decided to answer the call and take on arguably the hottest fighter in all of the mixed martial arts world right now – 26-0 Khabib Nurmagomedov. If you don’t know who Khabib is you’ve been asleep or hiding under a very heavy rock somewhere. He is explosive, dangerous, and someone whose bad side I would never want to venture on.
The Odds – Who Does Vegas Think Will Win
If you’re not sure who is “supposed” to win a fight, the best place to start is to look at the betting line. Vegas and the major sportsbooks are usually pretty good about giving us at least a general idea of who the favorite and underdogs are and how much of a favorite or underdog they are. The odds for the McGregor vs. Nurmagomedov fight opened on sportsbetting.ag at the following:
- Conor McGregor +155
- Khabib Nurmagomedov -180
For those of you that may be new to betting odds, this means that the sportsbook thinks Nurmagomedov is the favorite to win this fight and McGregor is the underdog. I personally think this line is going to change significantly as we get closer to the actual fight for one main reason. Casual fans know a ton about Conor McGregor and think he is untouchable and know a lot less about Nurmagomedov and how dangerous he is.
If you asked most members of the general betting public who is supposed to win this fight (without showing them the odds), most of them are going to tell you that Conor should be the big favorite. This means that when these members of the public see the actual line, they’re going to think they are getting a fantastic deal getting McGregor as an underdog. Without tipping my hat just yet at who I think is going to win, I am going to say I hope that they continue to think this and fire a lot of big bets on Conor to win moving the line much more in favor of Nurmagomedov.
For those of you that don’t know as much about Khabib Nurmagomedov, let me give you the quick elevator introduction. The man is 26-0. He has never been defeated in the Octagon. He’s just been fighting soft opponents, right? Wrong. He has victories against powerhouses like Edson Barboza, Pat Healy, Rafael Dos Anjos, Gleason Tibau, and a Thiago Tavares all jacked up on steroids. The man knows how to go to war and knows how to win.
Out of his 10 fights in the UFC thus far, he has two wins by TKO, two wins by submission, and the rest by unanimous decision including a fight of the night performance with Edson Barboza at UFC 219 last December. The man is a two-time combat sambo world champion, holds the longest undefeated streak in UFC history, and is a black belt in Judo.
Again, I’m not going to tip my hat just yet to who I think is going to win the fight, but you may be able to start getting a pretty good idea of where I’m leaning with this one. I will leave you with a quote from Khabib himself on the fight.
Khabib on Conor: He don’t have conditioning, he don’t have wrestling, he don’t have grappling. He has very good left hand. But I’m going to cut this angle and try to take him down 100 times.
— MMAFighting.com (@MMAFighting) July 27, 2018
Special Prop Bets You’ll Be Able to Make
One thing I always like to touch on when previewing the betting lines for an upcoming fight are the different prop bets that you’re going to be able to make. This fight is going to be no different. The most common bet you can make that most people are well aware of is a “to win” bet. This is simply a bet on who is going to win the fight.
Based on who the favorite is and who the underdog is, you’ll be paid out different amounts. Currently, a $100 correct bet on Conor McGregor winning will return you a profit of $155. A correct $100 bet on Khabib Nurmagomedov to win will net you a profit of $55.56. As you can see, the odds are heavily in favor of Khabib winning, but I am anticipating that to move around and change quite a bit before the fight actually happens.
Additionally, though, there is a lot more that you’re going to be able to bet on in relation to this fight. Most of the odds have not been released yet, but I do want to take a quick peek at a few bets you may want to pay attention to with this fight.
The first prop bet you’ll be able to make is whether or not the fight will go the distance. You can even take this prop bet a step further and bet on what specific round the fight is going to end. Obviously, the more specific you are, the more lucrative the payout is going to be. The general feel on this in the MMA community is heavily mixed. Some people think it’s going to be a quick fight while a lot of people think it’s going to be a five-round all-out war. Think you know? Put your money where your mouth is and make some cash if you’re right!
Secondly, you can bet specifically on how you think the fight is going to end – submission, TKO, or decision. Again, the more specific you are in predicting the outcome of the fight, the more money you’re going to get paid for being correct.
The Big Picture – Khabib vs. Connor
Here’s what you should be taking away from this article. There is one for-sure winner on October 6th, and that is going to be the fans as long as no one pulls out, or the fight doesn’t happen for some reason. As MMA fans we learn to not get too excited about a fight until we see both fighters step into the Octagon. Injuries and politics can sometimes play a bigger role than we’d ever like them to.
If both of these warriors do step into the Octagon in Vegas on October 6th, expect fireworks. Someone will walk out of their champ, and someone will walk out there disappointed and heartbroken. If you think you know which is going to be which, then you should really look into making a bet and cashing in on your expertise. Let’s go, Kha…oh wait, I’m not telling you who I think is going to win yet.