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Jermall Charlo vs Dennis Hogan Boxing Betting Odds and Prediction

Jermall Charlo Holding the WBC Middleweight Belt and Dennis Hogan

Jermall Charlo will make the second defense of his WBC middleweight champion against Ireland’s Dennis Hogan on Saturday, December 7, 2019, at the Barclays Center in New York.

Charlo defeated Matt Korobov to retain his interim belt last December. After being promoted to full champion, he outpointed Brandon Adams in his first defense last June 29. Hogan meanwhile, is coming off a disputed majority decision loss to junior middleweight champion Jaime Munguia last April. However, his showing against Munguia earned him this fight. In the co-featured bout, Chris Eubank Jr. takes on Matt Korobov in another middleweight showdown. Let’s take a look at these previews and start having fun betting on boxing!

Jermall Charlo vs Dennis Hogan

Jermall Charlo is the former IBF junior middleweight champion and the twin brother of world champion Jermell. Jermall won the vacant interim WBC middleweight title by defeating fellow American Hugo Centeno Jr. in April 2018. He was promoted to full champion after Canelo Alvarez was stripped of the WBC title.

The 29-year old Louisiana native is undefeated in 29 fights with 21 knockouts. Known as the Hitman, Charlo fights out of the orthodox stance, stands 6-0 tall, and has a reach of 73.5 inches. In his last fight, Charlo successfully defended the WBC middleweight belt with an unimpressive win over Brandon Adams.

On the other hand, Dennis Hogan is a former Australian middleweight champion who has won several regional super welterweight titles. The Kildare, Ireland native had an extensive amateur career with over 150 bouts. The 34-year old known as the Hurricane will be moving up to 160 pounds for this bout.

Hogan stands 5-8 tall and has a reach of 68.5 inches while fighting as an orthodox fighter out of Newstead, Queensland, Australia. He has a professional boxing record of 28-2-1 with 7 wins by way of knockout. In his last bout, Hogan was defeated via majority decision by Jaime Munguia in a fight that he appeared to have won.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Charlo (-1345) | Hogan (+845)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 12/02/19

I think Dennis Hogan is underrated. He gave Munguia a tough time and probably should have beaten him, on a short camp. With the benefit of a full camp here, I expect him to put up a better showing here. Hogan has fought as high as 175 pounds but he hasn’t faced someone at world level above 154 pounds. At 5-8, he is short for the middleweight division and that could be an issue.

Charlo is a much bigger hitter than Hogan. He isn’t just a puncher but he is also able to outbox his opponents. He owns wins over former champion Austin Trout and he knocked out unified champion Julian Williams. Hogan has been down once and given Charlo’s power, Hogan must stay out of range to make a fight out of this.

Hogan doesn’t seem to have the kind of power that will catch Charlo’s attention. However, he did well boxing on the backfoot against Munguia, landing clean blows when the latter was on the attack. If Hogan uses the same lateral movement here, this won’t be an easy night for Charlo.

Charlo can hurt Hogan here and it will take a near-perfect boxing effort for Hogan to beat Charlo in a 12-rounder. The key here is if Hogan will be able to take his opponent’s punches. If Hogan can keep himself standing, this will be an interesting fight. If Charlo’s punches are going to hurt him, he will slow down in the middle rounds and Charlo is going to stop him. Dennis Hogan could very well be ahead when he gets stopped in the second half of the fight.

ODDS-1345

MY PICK:
Jermall Charlo

Chris Eubank Jr. vs Matt Korobov

Chris Eubank Jr. is a second-generation world champion. He is the son of his namesake Chris Sr. who was a two-division champion. Chris Jr. was the former interim WBA middleweight champion and IBO middleweight champion. He owns wins over Arthur Abraham, Avni Yildirim, and James DeGale.

Known as NextGen, the 30-year old from Hove, East Sussex, England has a professional record of 28-2 with 21 knockouts. Eubank Jr. measures six feet tall and has a reach of 73 inches while fighting as an orthodox. His two losses have come against fellow British world champions Billie Joe Saunders and George Groves.

Matt Korobov is a two-time world title challenger. Korobov challenged for the WBO middleweight belt and interim WBC middleweight title. The Russian won back to back gold medals at the World Championships in 2005 and 2007 and was part of the Russian team that won the 2005 Boxing World Cup. Korobov finished his amateur career with a 300-12 record.

He stands 5-11 tall with a reach of 70 inches while fighting out of the southpaw stance. Korobov has a record of 28-2-1 with 14 knockouts. He owns wins over Jose Uzcategui and Brian Vera. In his last bout, Korobov figured in an uninspiring majority decision draw against Immanuel Aleem.

Spread Odds:

  • Eubank (-211) | Korobov (+181)
  • Odds from BetOnline as of 12/02/19

Korobov is no pushover. Although he lost to Charlo, he didn’t get enough credit for his body of work. Korobov boxed very well in that fight and that raised his stock. The two-time World Championships gold medalist owns a win over former world champion Jose Uzcategui and was ahead on points when he was knocked out by Andy Lee.

Meanwhile, Eubank has shown improvement since his loss to Groves. The second-generation world champion defeated J.J. Donagh and James DeGale in his last two fights. Although he beat a washed-up version of DeGale, he fought with a better strategy against Chunky than he did against Groves or Saunders. If he fights with the same purpose, I like Eubank here.

I expect Korobov to take advantage early because Eubank is coming off a long layoff and ring rust could be an issue. Korobov also has the skills to outbox Eubank for 12 rounds but given his age, I don’t think he can do it here. The Russian has also not fought consistently since losing to Lee.

Eubank is going to struggle with Korobov early, not just because of ring rust but because Korobov is a better technical boxer than DeGale. However, Korobov doesn’t have the power to hurt Eubank and the longer this fight goes, the more it will be to the advantage of the younger fighter. I see Korobov slowing down after the first half of the fight and Eubank taking over with his pace and output. Eubank catches Korobov late.

ODDS-211

MY PICK:
Chris Eubank Jr.