Now that the 2020 NFL schedule has been released, the bookies have announced some of the future odds, including win totals. Therefore, we enter the exciting period for the sports bettors who love to get futures early, although that approach can be quite tricky.
I’m well aware of all the things that can happen during the summer. Some key players could be injured, while some can end up in jail, who knows. Also, that Antonio Brown syndrome is pretty unpredictable. The Raiders surpassed their win total in 2019 even though Brown didn’t play a minute in Oakland.
However, I cannot help myself. As soon as the odds are listed, I’m into the analysis, looking for the best bets on the win totals out there. Taking early NFL season props has something magical despite all the pitfalls. Let’s first take a look at the 2020 NFL win totals courtesy of the leading NFL betting sites before I provide my recommended picks for the best value bets.
2020 NFL Win Totals
- Baltimore Ravens – 11.5
- Kansas City Chiefs – 11.5
- New Orleans Saints – 10.5
- San Francisco 49ers – 10.5
- Tampa Bay Buccaneers – 10
- Dallas Cowboys – 9.5
- Philadelphia Eagles – 9.5
- Pittsburgh Steelers – 9.5
- Seattle Seahawks – 9.5
- Buffalo Bills – 9
- Green Bay Packers – 9
- Indianapolis Colts – 9
- Minnesota Vikings – 9
- New England Patriots – 9
- Cleveland Browns – 8.5
- Los Angeles Rams – 8.5
- Tennessee Titans – 8.5
- Chicago Bears – 8
- Houston Texans – 8
- Los Angeles Chargers – 8
- Atlanta Falcons – 7.5
- Denver Broncos – 7.5
- Las Vegas Raiders – 7.5
- Arizona Cardinals – 7
- New York Jets – 7
- Detroit Lions – 6.5
- Miami Dolphins – 6.5
- New York Giants – 6.5
- Carolina Panthers – 5.5
- Cincinnati Bengals – 5.5
- Washington Redskins – 5.5
- Jacksonville Jaguars – 5
Carolina Panthers Over 5.5
The Panthers decided to split ways with Cam Newton. They also traded Kyle Allen to Washington while choosing Teddy Bridgewater as their new signal-caller. Bridgewater started five games for the Saints last season when Drew Brees was on the sidelines due to an injury, and Teddy did a terrific job, recording all five wins.
The upcoming season will be crucial for Bridgewater to show if he’s capable of carrying his team for all 16 weeks. He will work with a very talented receiving corps, as D.J. Moore, Robby Anderson, and Curtis Samuel are all good players.
Finally, Christian McCaffrey has signed an extension through 2025 and will continue to torture the Panthers’ rivals. McCaffrey could earn a few wins on his own. Last year, he posted a ridiculous 2,392 yards off the scrimmage while scoring 19 touchdowns.
The biggest problem for the Panthers will be their defensive unit. Luke Kuechly’s retirement is a massive blow for Carolina, and I assume the Panthers will struggle defensively without their best player over the last eight years. Tahir Whitehead’s arrival could help, but Kuechly will be missed a lot.
Still, the Panthers got a nice draw. Considering their strength of schedule, I believe the Panthers will win at least six games in 2020. They open at home against Las Vegas, while Carolina will also welcome Arizona, Detroit, and Denver. If that’s not a favorable schedule, I don’t know what is.
Likewise, the Panthers will visit the Redskins and Chargers, which are two more games you can count on. On the other hand, the NFC South is tougher than ever, but the Panthers should beat Atlanta at home and pull off at least one more upset.
Miami Dolphins Under 6.5
There’s no way the Miami Dolphins will grab seven or more wins in 2020, even with Tom Brady in Tampa. The Patriots will be fired up to destroy the Dolphins after what happened in Week 17 this past December. The Bills should be too much for Miami, so if you ask me, the Dolphins can count on one win against the Jets in their division play.
Now, let’s see what remains on the table. In Week 3, Miami visits Jacksonville in what should be a tight battle between two bad teams. In the next two weeks, the Dolphins welcome Seattle and travel to San Francisco, while Week 6 brings the clash in the Mile High City.
After that, the Dolphins will enjoy a two-game homestand against a couple of teams from LA, which is an opportunity for an upset. Miami enters the second half of the season with a long trip to Arizona, and the Dolphins play the Jets twice before and after a bye in Week 11.
I don’t see the Dolphins winning five or more games through their first 11 games, and I just need them to stay below five. They have a must-win contest against the Cincinnati Bengals in Week 13, after which Miami hosts New England and Kansas City, and heads to Las Vegas and Buffalo.
The Dolphins went 5-11 in 2019 despite losing their first seven games of the season. They looked pretty good in December, including a 37-31 win over the Eagles and a shocking 27-24 victory at the Patriots. However, the Phins head coach Brian Flores will have a tall task to gel things with all new players around.
Miami had three first-round picks and a couple of second-rounders in the 2020 NFL draft. Tua Tagovailoa should be the Dolphins’ starting QB for the future, but he’ll have some serious issues in his rookie season, for sure. Ryan Fitzpatrick is always an option, still not good enough for seven wins in 2020.
Baltimore Ravens Over 11.5
After going 14-2 this past regular season, the Ravens need to recover from a tough loss to the Titans in the divisional round. The strength of the schedule tells me that Baltimore will do well in 2020 and win at least 12 games.
Of course, winning 12 games in the NFL season is always a tall task. But the Ravens will meet the NFC East, visiting Washington and Philadelphia, and hosting Dallas and New York Giants. Also, they will play the AFC South, including home games against Tennessee and hapless Jacksonville. Don’t forget two games against the Bengals.
Cincinnati is arguably one of the weakest teams in the league, while both Cleveland and Pittsburgh are a mystery. Therefore, I think the Ravens won’t lose more than one game in their division play. Two at most. They host Kansas City in Week 3 and visit New England in Week 10. That’s pretty much all.
The Ravens need to stay healthy, and with Lamar Jackson’s style of play, that could be a problem. Still, the Ravens have plenty of talented players alongside the reigning MVP, while John Harbaugh is an elite head coach.
I expect the Ravens to build on their fantastic play from the previous season. They are a well-balanced team, capable of making huge damage on both sides of the ball, so I’m backing the Ravens to win 12 or more games in 2020.