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Baylor vs Texas 02/10/20 NCAA Basketball Betting Odds and Prediction

Baylor Bears vs Texas Longhorns Logos - NCAA Basketball Logo

Baylor takes on Texas in Big 12 action on Monday night at the Frank Erwin Center.

The Bears are the top team in the conference with a 10-0 record. Baylor is 21-2 overall and they have won a school-record 20 straight games. In their last game, they defeated a tough Oklahoma State team 78-70 last Saturday. The Longhorns are 14-9 overall this season but they are just 4-6 in Big 12 action. Texas is coming off a 57-62 loss to Texas Tech in Austin during their most recent outing last Saturday night.

School-Record Winning Streak

Baylor extended its school-record winning streak to 20 games after a tougher than expected 78-70 win over the Oklahoma State Cowboys last Saturday. The Bears saw all five of their starters score in double figures as they improved their conference record to 10-0 SU, best in the Big 12 conference.

MaCio Teague led the team with a season-best 24 points and Jared Butler added 15 for the Bears. Freddie Gillespie scored 12 points and grabbed 11 rebounds while Mark Vital had 13 and Davion Mitchell had 10 points for Baylor who has the second-longest winning streak in the nation behind San Diego State’s 24.

Baylor is ranked 4th in the nation in defensive efficiency and they are allowing their opponents to 59 points per game this season. The Bears are scoring an average of 72.5 points per game and they are grabbing an average of 38.5 rebounds per contest. They are also averaging 14.0 assists per game this season.

Moneyline Odds:

  • Baylor (-255) | Texas (+215)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 02/10/20

Another Collapse

The Texas Longhorns have a habit of playing well in the first half before fading in the closing half. In their last game against Texas Tech last Saturday, the Longhorns suffered another collapse. They led the Red Raiders 31-19 at the half but were dominated by their opponents after the break after making just 35.5% of their shots.

Andrew Jones scored 18 points for Texas but only two came in the second half when they needed it most. Matt Coleman III added 17 points but Jericho Sims fouled out with three minutes left and finished with only two points and four rebounds. Texas played without two starters in Kai Jones and Jase Febres.

Texas is averaging just 65.5 points per game this season. They are ranked 45th in the nation in scoring defense at 63.8 opponents points per game allowed. The Longhorns are pulling down an average of 32.6 rebounds per game and they are issuing 12.8 assists per game this season.

Who Wins?

Baylor is 10-0 SU in their last 10 games played. The Bears are 6-0 SU in their last six games played. Texas is 2-5 SU in their last seven games played. The Longhorns are 9-4 SU in their last 13 games played at home, and 2-4 SU in their last six games against the Big 12 Conference. Head to head, the Baylor is 8-2 SU in their last 10 games against Texas.

The Bears head to this game with their best winning run in school history. They are also undefeated in Big 12 play with 10 consecutive conference wins. Baylor is averaging 114 points per 100 possessions which is 17th in adjusted offensive efficiency and they have the 4th best scoring defense in college basketball this season.

The Longhorns have the penchant to play well in the opening half and then just collapse down the stretch. That’s what we saw last Saturday night against Texas Tech. Texas will be without starters Kai Jones and Jase Febres when they take the court against the Bears on Monday night.

It’s hard to trust Texas right now because they have been very inconsistent this season. On the other hand, Baylor has been spotless in their last 20 games played and while they have shown signs of slowing down, they have done what they have to to win games. I like the Bears’ defense to shut down Texas.

ODDS-255

MY PICK:
Baylor Bears

Other Bets to Make

The Bears are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games played. Baylor is 5-1 ATS in their last six games played at home. The Longhorns are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games played. Texas is 4-9 ATS in their last 13 home games, but 5-1 ATS in their last six February games. Head to head, Baylor is 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games against Texas.

Spread Odds:

  • Baylor -6 (-105) | Texas +6 (-115)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 02/10/20

Texas has been inconsistent in Big 12 play while Baylor has won seven of 10 conference games by at least seven points per game. The Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games as the betting favorite. They are also 13-3 ATS in their last 16 games against an opponent with a winning SU record. Texas is 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games versus an opponent with a winning percentage of .600 or better. The Longhorns have lost four games against ranked opponents by a margin of nine points or more.

ODDS-105

MY PICK:
Baylor -6

The total has gone under in six out of the last 10 games played by Baylor. The under is 7-3 in the Bears’ last 10 games played against the Big 12 Conference. The total has gone under in four out of the last five games played by the Longhorns. The under is 5-1 in Texas’ last six games played at home. The total has gone over in five out of the last seven meetings between these two teams. The over is also 7-1 in their last six games played in Texas.

Over/Under Odds:

  • Over 128 (-105) | Under 128 (-115)
  • Odds from SportsBetting as of 02/10/20

Although the Bears gave up 67 to Kansas State and 70 to Oklahoma State in their last two outings, Baylor has not allowed more than 57 points in seven out of their 10 conference games played. These two teams combined for 103 points in their first meeting of the year and I don’t expect the score to change much in their second encounter. I like these teams to hit the under here.

ODDS-115

MY PICK:
Under 128